Marine Corps Marathon: Predicting Full Marathon Time Using Half Marathon Split

At the Marine Corps Marathon, when you get to the 13.1 mile point, you are likely to wonder what your finish time might be. At MCM, for the average runner, here's the approximate formula: half marathon time x 2.2 = full marathon time.

Example, if you're M30-34, and you've run a 2:03 half marathon, your finish time is likely to be 4:28. With an R-squared of .83, confidence in this prediction is fairly high. For more MCM stats and FAQ, see our Complete Marine Corps Marathon Coverage.

New York City Marathon Geographic Results Analysis: Finish Times by State/Country and its Age Groups

New York City Marathon Average Finish Times by State or Country and by the Region's Age Groups



For more, see our complete New York City Marathon Coverage, and for even more, see our comprehensive analytics archive, including more than 200 posts, in our Stats/Results/Analysis tab.

What Will Be Your New York City Marathon Finish Time? Predicting Your Results Based on NYC Half Marathon Time

What might your New York City Marathon Finish Time be, based on your half marathon finish times?

Glad you asked. We analyzed the finish times by age group, comparing results of 43,000 New York City Marathon finishers and 15,000 New York City Half Marathon finishers, and the answer is, on average:

2.2

As in, NYC Half Marathon Finish Time * 2.2 = NYC Marathon Finish Time (on average).

[Want a second opinion? See our New York City Marathon Average Finish Times by Age Group; for further comparison, see our analysis re: predicting Marine Corps Marathon Finish Times]

Here's more detail about finishers and finish times by event and age group that went into our analysis. For more, see our complete New York City Marathon Coverage, and for even more, see our comprehensive archive of 200+ Stats/Results/Analysis articles.