Chicago Marathon 2014 Lottery Results: 71,000 Applied for 45,000 Guaranteed and Lottery Entrant Spots

Chicago Marathon 2014 Lottery Results: 
71,000 Applied for 45,000 Guaranteed and Lottery Entrant Spots

The Chicago Marathon, which caps its runner field at 45,000, experienced exploding demand in 2013, leading event organizers to change 2014's registration requirements to

• Guarantee acceptance to runners who meet certain criteria, and 
• Assign the rest to a random lottery.

The open lottery, which closed on April 7, attracted 71,000 applicants for 45,000 entry spots. Those 71,000 applicants included

• 13,750 runners (19%) qualifying for guaranteed entry. The Breakdown
• Legacy Finishers 2,700
• Time Qualifiers 4,100
• Charity Runners 6,600
• International Tours 350
• 57,250 remaining lottery entrants, who ultimately had a 55% chance to be selected for 31,250 entry slots. 

Here's the big picture of Chicago Marathon 2014 LotteryApplicants, Guaranteed Entries and Remaining Available Lottery entries. Lottery winners were to be notified on April 14, 2014.

Ironman 70.3 Florida Results Analysis

The 2013 edition of Ironman 70.3 Florida saw 1280+ triathletes finish the half ironman distance in average finish time of 6 hours, seven minutes.

The results were notable for variances in degree of difficulty compared to average 2013 Ironman 70.3 California times:

• Swim: slower swim (42 minutes), vs California (36)
• Bike: easier bike (2:57 average) vs 3:09 on the Oceanside course
• Run: a tough run (averaging 2:19) compared to 2:08 at 70.3 California
• Overall: about the same: 6:07 for 2013 Ironman 70.3 Florida vs 6:04 at Ironman 70.3 California

We've cranked the numbers on 2013 Ironman 70.3 Florida, overall, split, division and charted the correlation between bike and run splits.

For perspective, we also compared Florida's results with those of 2013 Ironman 70.3 California, by split and by age group.

See below. For more, see our archive of well over 200 race analytics posts: Stats/Race/Results.

Boston Marathon: Predicting Your Finishing Time After Running the First 13.1 Miles

Around the time Boston Marathon runners reach the half-way point in Wellesley, the question on most runners' minds is: What might my finish time likely to be?

How can runners predict a finish time halfway through the race?

The short answer, after analyzing thousands of finishers splits over the years: multiple your 13.1 mile time by 2.1. Cross the half-way point in 1:30, you could finish in 3:09, for example.

But first, note that statistically, the 2.1 multiplier is a decent guide. But it won't hold for those who started too fast, or finished with extra energy left over.

The blue dots in this chart plot the intersection of first and second half splits for each Boston Marathon 2013 finisher. The cluster around the yellow trend line hold reasonably true to the finish multiplier of 2.1 times half-marathon split. But you can also see a great many runners who blew up in the second half of the race, shown in the general upper left area



Of course there are variances, and I've got answers for you, by age gender, age group and by 30 minute finish time increments for all who finished under 4:30 in 2013. See age group details below.

[Competitor Magazine (www.competitor.com) has published our analysis of more than 17,000 finishers at Boston Marathon 2013 to provide some guidance. Click this link for the full article. Below are some of the charts contained in the piece.]

For more, see our complete Boston Marathon Race Coverage.