Lance faced a very strong field of male pros, and their average finish time was just a bit slower than in 2011: 4:06 vs 4:04.
Half Ironman 70.3 Texas Results Analysis
Lance Armstrong chose Ironman 70.3 Texas as his second major triathlon in 2012 on a great day for racing in Galveston Texas. Race conditions were quite favorable, and 2,244 triathletes finished the event in an average time of 6:04, four minutes faster than the average of 6:08 in 2011. Unfortunately for Lance, things didn't go quite as well as expected.
Lance Armstrong Ironman 70.3 Texas Results Analysis
Lance Armstrong Takes 7th place at Ironman 70.3 Texas: Did He Leave It All on the Bike Course?
Interesting question, especially of a 7-time Tour de France Winner: Should Lance not have ridden so fast at Ironman 70.3 Texas?
Could it be that Lance made the classic triathlon rookie mistake at Ironman Texas 70.3: rode too hard on the 56 Mile bike course, and suffered as a result on the 13.1 mile run?
It's quite possible, considering the splits from his 7th place race in Texas compared to those in his 2nd place finish in Panama: 5 minutes faster on the bike, 5 minutes slower -- suffering to the point of walking near the end -- on the run.
Lance Armstrong at 2012 Ironman 70.3 Texas
Lance Armstrong started Ironman 70.3 Texas with a decent swim (15th place), took it easy on the first 28 miles of the bike course (25mph) before unloading a 28mph second lap to take the lead heading into the run course. The lead was short-lived, and from there, things only got worse: suffering to the point of walking the late stages of the run, he settled for a disappointing 7th place overall.
Bike
However, Lance was not without competition on the bike course. Stephane Poulet and Sebastian Kienle rode lap 2 at 29.12 mph, 10+ minutes faster than lap 1, and finished within 16 seconds of Lance. And Sebastian Kienle turned in a faster overall bike split than Lance: 2:03:43, 27.16 mph.
Run
So, back to the original question: should Lance not have ridden so fast at Ironman 70.3 Texas?
How do you tell the fastest rider in the world to slow down? Somebody may have to, if he wants to win at triathlon.
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Interesting question, especially of a 7-time Tour de France Winner: Should Lance not have ridden so fast at Ironman 70.3 Texas?
Could it be that Lance made the classic triathlon rookie mistake at Ironman Texas 70.3: rode too hard on the 56 Mile bike course, and suffered as a result on the 13.1 mile run?
It's quite possible, considering the splits from his 7th place race in Texas compared to those in his 2nd place finish in Panama: 5 minutes faster on the bike, 5 minutes slower -- suffering to the point of walking near the end -- on the run.
Lance Armstrong at 2012 Ironman 70.3 Texas
Lance Armstrong started Ironman 70.3 Texas with a decent swim (15th place), took it easy on the first 28 miles of the bike course (25mph) before unloading a 28mph second lap to take the lead heading into the run course. The lead was short-lived, and from there, things only got worse: suffering to the point of walking the late stages of the run, he settled for a disappointing 7th place overall.Bike
However, Lance was not without competition on the bike course. Stephane Poulet and Sebastian Kienle rode lap 2 at 29.12 mph, 10+ minutes faster than lap 1, and finished within 16 seconds of Lance. And Sebastian Kienle turned in a faster overall bike split than Lance: 2:03:43, 27.16 mph.
Run
Lance began the 13.1 mile run with an 11 second lead over Stephane Poulat, but after only 3 minutes on the run, Poulat had passed Lance. After 11 minutes on the run, Sebastian Kiene had also passed Lance, completely erasing his 1:30 deficit leaving T1; Poulat remained in the lead. At the 4.6 mile timing mat Lance caught Poulet, but still trailed Kienle by 38 seconds.
After 30 minutes on the run, Timothy O'Donnell had passed Lance, and was gaining ground on race leader Kienle. At the 7.2 mile timing mat, Lance's running pace has slowed dramatically.
By mile 9, on-site race observers suggested that Lance couldn't catch Kienle or O'Donnell but might hold onto 3rd place. Just then, Michael Raelert, who was seen walking earlier, has leapt back into the race, passing Armstrong.
The race for victory was exciting; approaching the 1-mile to go mark, Keinle and O'Donnell were trying to outpace the other, surging and countering to remain together. At the last turnaround, O'Donnell broke free from Kienle, and took the win by 10 seconds.
At the same time, Lance Armstrong was reportedly walking; course observers noted he must start running if he wanted to hold onto 5th place. Finishing the last 1.5 miles at an 8:33/mile pace, Lance had all but given up, ceding not only 5th place, but getting beaten at the line by Jordon Jones, who took 6th place.
So, back to the original question: should Lance not have ridden so fast at Ironman 70.3 Texas?
How do you tell the fastest rider in the world to slow down? Somebody may have to, if he wants to win at triathlon.
For more, see Lance Armstrong Ironman Triathlon Race Results, Lance Armstrong Ironman Panama Results Analysis, RunTri's Top 40 Toughest/Easiest Half Ironman Rankings, and our Home Page for everything else.
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Predicting Full Ironman Time Based on Half Ironman Results by Age Group
We've previously done a thorough analysis comparing 70.3 and full ironman events around the world to define a simple formula with which to predict your ironman finish time:
Here, we take the analysis a step further: defining the average multiplier for each age group. We analyzed the relative range of tough (Texas, with a 2.17 overall multiplier) and average (New Zealand, average multiplier of 2.12) ironman and half ironman 70.3 combinations.
Interestingly, the multipliers do vary across many age groups. Most fluctuate slightly above the 2.1 multiplier, with Texas exceeding New Zealand in most age groups. Notable exceptions are men aged 18 to 39, which see a higher multiplier at New Zealand, while women 18 to 54 have it tougher in Texas.
Overall
New Zealand
Texas
Ironman finish time = your half-marathon result * a multiplier of 2.1
Here, we take the analysis a step further: defining the average multiplier for each age group. We analyzed the relative range of tough (Texas, with a 2.17 overall multiplier) and average (New Zealand, average multiplier of 2.12) ironman and half ironman 70.3 combinations.
Interestingly, the multipliers do vary across many age groups. Most fluctuate slightly above the 2.1 multiplier, with Texas exceeding New Zealand in most age groups. Notable exceptions are men aged 18 to 39, which see a higher multiplier at New Zealand, while women 18 to 54 have it tougher in Texas.
Overall
New Zealand
Texas
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