Meb Keflezighi's Amazing Boston Marathon Victory: Why Did Other Exceptional Runners Lose?

By Raymond Britt

Boston Marathon 2014: One of the Greatest Marathon Victories of All Time?

Image by Raymond Britt
Meb Keflezighi's Boston Marathon win has been called 'a Run for the Ages' and some have even called it one of the greatest marathon performances of all time. Meb ran the best race of his life, and that's saying a lot. He was steady, ran his planned race without hesitation, delivering the fastest marathon time in an outstanding career that's included winning the 2009 New York City Marathon and earning a gutsy come-from behind Bronze medal at the Olympic Games.

I have tremendous respect for Meb, Ryan Hall, and all the monumentally impressive top 20 elites who came to race Boston this year. This was an emotional marathon, a year after terrorism shattered the race, and Boston 2014 was the year we were going to take the race back. And nothing would be more perfect than for an American to win for the first time since 1968.

Boston's 32,000 runners and up to one million spectators did indeed take the marathon back, and Meb's victory was the type that legends are made of. A storybook ending, absolutely classic, almost an impossible outcome. As a veteran of 13 consecutive Boston Marathons, and now a reporter/photographer covering the race, I'm thrilled with the result. Boston is legendary. For me Boston is personal. It's the greatest marathon in the world.

Boston Marathon 2014: One of the More Stunning Losing Performances of All Time?

Wall Street Journal 5/2/14 Featuring RunTri.com Analysis
However . . . As an endurance racing statistician who's analyzed hundreds of races in detail, and as a journalist who's been present to witness some of the other, great, defining marathon performances in history at Chicago Marathon, New York City Marathon and US Olympic Trials, the numbers or explanations surrounding the American's victory or the Kenyans' and Ethiopians' poor performances just didn't add up.

We dove deep into the numbers of the elite runners, comparing PRs vs Boston finish times, mapping Top 10 Runners at every checkpoint, and specifically analyzing the top 3 finishers, including Chebet, who had charged to close the gap to 8 seconds from Meb before it stunningly all fell apart.

We shared our analysis and questions with Kevin Helliker and Sharon Terlep of the Wall Street Journal, who included it in their article 'Boston Marathon Mysters: Why Didn't Anyone Beat Meb?'

Here are the questions we posed, and our resulting analysis.

Of 17 elites coming into the race with, for the most part, dramatically faster PRs than Meb, why did many of them deliver shockingly poor performances?


Why did 4 of the fastest marathoners in the world, including the defending champion, drop out of the race before finishing? What are the odds?







So close, but too tired? Chebet came back with a tremendous surge, only, in his agent's word, to become too 'tired' to reel Meb in at the end. 



Boston Marathon 2014: Geomapped Results From 7,000+ Global Cities

Geo-Mapping of Finishers and Average Finish Times from each of 7,077 Cities with Boston Marathon 2014 Finishers

Nearly 36,000 runners were granted entry into the 118th running of the Boston Marathon in April 2014. Of those entrants, more than 32,000 started the race, and 31,805 finished it in an average time of 4 hours and 2 minutes.

We think it's pretty impressive that Boston 2014 had finishers from 7,077 cities, we've plotted, on geomaps below, each city's number of finishers and average finish time overall.

Each red dot represents a city; click on it and you'll see its overall results. How did your city's time compare? Click nearby, how did your neighboring cities perform? Navigate the around the Google maps -- zoom in and out, scroll around, explore. The results may surprise you.

Global Map of 7000 Cities' With Finishers at Boston Marathon 2014


North America Cities with Boston Marathon 2014 Finishers

European Cities with Boston Marathon 2014 Finishers

Africa and Asia-Pacific Cities with Boston Marathon 2014 Finishers

Central and South American Cities with Boston Marathon 2014 Finishers




Pre-Race Geo-Mapping of 7000+ Cities with Boston Marathon 2014 Entrants (3/31/14)

Simply Amazing. 

Runners from 7,000 global cities will comprise the field of 35,473 Runners at the 2014 Marathon.

Repeat: runners from 7,000 global cities. Absolutely unprecedented. But with extraordinary purpose: to reclaim Boston from terror.

What a breathtakingly powerful statement that makes about the running community's support of Boston.

We've always been proud to be a long-time part of the Boston Marathon family, both as a 13-consecutive-time finisher and major media outlet contributor. We're prouder than ever to be a part of this year's historic event with the 35.473.

Where Are They All Coming From?

Wonder where those 35,473 runners are coming from? Wonder where those 7,000+ cities are?

We've got your answers. We created a comprehensive global map, plotting each location sending runners to Boston. But there's more: click on any red dot representing a city, and all relative pre-race information will appear: number of runners, males, females, and average ages. Go ahead, find your city, compare it to others.

The data is plotted on google maps, so you can zoom in and out as normal, plus you can click and drag maps for best viewing.
A world with 7,000 cities sending runners to Boston is a bit too big to present in one map. So we've broken the world into continents and regions.

Explore the maps and the data. Enjoy the journey. And we'll see you, representing Wilmette, IL, USA, on race day.

North America

Europe

Asia-Pacific

Mid-East/Africa

South America

Ironman Kona 2014 Lottery Winners and Results Analysis

Ironman Lottery 2014 Winners and Results Analysis

Racing at the Ironman World Championship in Kona Hawaii is the ultimate goal of tens of thousands of triathletes each year. Primary entry Kona is reserved for about 1800 athletes who qualify and Ironman events around the world.

Tradition holds that 205 additional slots are dedicated to non-qualifiers who enter the Kona Lottery. Winners are selected from three lotteries:
  • 100 Slots: Legacy Lottery for those with 12+ Ironman triathlons, but not Kona
  • 100 Slots: Regular Lottery, which has been said to include more than five thousand entrants
  • 5 Physically Challenged Slots
Ironman Lottery 2014 Results: 205 Winners from 25 Countries


Last First Country Type
Aguilar Miguel MX Legacy
Aguilera Flavio US Legacy
AlDhaen Nawaf BH Lottery
Ament Kristina PC
Anderson Spot AU Lottery
andries junior orival BR Legacy
Appeldorn John US Lottery
Armiger Rick US Legacy
Arnold David AU Legacy
Ash Stephen AU Legacy
Ashcroft Cristine AU Lottery
Atwell Graeme AU Legacy
Ballantyne Andrew AU Lottery
Barnes Clintyn AU Legacy
Barrett John US Legacy
Barthorpe Carl GB Legacy
Beamish Richard NZ Lottery
Beattie  Laurie US Lottery
Binstead Thaddeus US Lottery
Black Charles US Lottery
Blake Jeremy US Lottery
Blomgren Ola SE Lottery
Bomm Rainer DE Legacy
Bonellos MIlton CA Lottery
Borge Joe US Lottery
Borke Todd US Lottery
BOTTOMLEY Travis AU Legacy
Bramblett Kim US Legacy
Brasseur Jason US Lottery
Bridges Allysin US Lottery
brown peter CA Legacy
Buchot Jean-Marie PC
Budd Dennis US Lottery
Buisson Rory GB Legacy
Bukacek Martin US Legacy
Burg David US Legacy
Callen Rodriguez Jose Ramon ES Legacy
Cam Ferdi DE Lottery
Cameron Damian GB Lottery
Camilleri Anthony AU Lottery
Carpenter Tom US Legacy
Carr Stephen US Legacy
CASEY JAMES AU Legacy
Cerniglia Joe US Lottery
Chatterton John AU Lottery
Chauvin Matthew US Legacy
Christiansen Greg US Lottery
Christoffersen Joseph US Legacy
Cleveland Trevor US Lottery
Cnossen Auke HK Lottery
Cohen Cynthia US Legacy
Comins Penny GB Legacy
Couzins John US Legacy
Crane Nick AU Legacy
Dalton James GB Legacy
dasios constantine AU Legacy
de Beer Alejandro AR Legacy
Dentskevich Andrew CH Lottery
dickson scott US Lottery
Diehl Katie US Legacy
Dilkie Trent CA Legacy
Dull Phil US Legacy
Eachon Rob US Legacy
El Sherif Jennifer US Legacy
Erpelding Heidi US Legacy
Evans Thomas US Lottery
Fallenius Erik US Lottery
Fontaine Eric US Legacy
Frick Warren US Lottery
Fuchs Reginald DE Lottery
Gallegos Ricardo MX Legacy
Garvey Brant PC
Geier Gerald PC
Genkin Michael US Lottery
Gonzalez JuanCristobal VE Lottery
Goodney Eric US Lottery
Grammer Holly US Lottery
Guiher Derek US Lottery
Gustavsson Andreas SE Legacy
Guthrie Maura US Legacy
Hall Donnie US Lottery
Hall James US Lottery
Hall Neil AU Lottery
Hamilton Michael US Legacy
Hansen Lars DE Lottery
Harding Peter GB Lottery
Hawkins Julian AE Lottery
hill Brian CA Legacy
Hobson Steve GB Legacy
Hofer Manfred DE Lottery
Holthausen Manfred DE Legacy
Jimenez Omar CR Legacy
Joecken Peter DE Legacy
Johnson Tim CA Legacy
Jones Eric US Lottery
Jones Kurt US Lottery
Jones Rick US Legacy
Kalt Thomas DE Legacy
Kanesky David  US Lottery
Karoczkai Peter US Lottery
Kells Christine GB Lottery
Kerger Peter DE Legacy
Kerr Evan US    Lottery
Kichler Michael US Lottery
Kim Byongdoo KR Legacy
Klancke Jeff US Lottery
Kohn Kevin US Legacy
Kresge Matthew US Legacy
Lackey Tammy US Lottery
Lahna Mohamed PC
Larsen Joe US Lottery
Lawrence James US Legacy
Lee Harry US Lottery
Leonard-Schneck Sheryl US Lottery
Lerman Kimberly US Legacy
Little John US Legacy
Little John US Legacy
Macdougall Alan US Lottery
Maddox Gina US Lottery
Malone Evan US Legacy
Maneejakr Witthaya TH Legacy
martins rubens BR Lottery
Matsumura Hiroshi JP Lottery
mazzaferro mauro IT Legacy
McFaul Jason US Legacy
McKay Paul AU Legacy
McMurtrey Carla US Legacy
mendes luis VE Legacy
Mendez de la Maza Jeronimo ES Lottery
Menghini Terri US Lottery
Michelsen Gary US Lottery
Moore Tony AU Lottery
Morris Christopher US Lottery
Morris Kent US Lottery
Murtagh Bruce NZ Legacy
Nelson Barbara US Legacy
Nista Jerry US Lottery
ONeil Richard US Legacy
Orgill Lawrence US Legacy
OShea Shawn US Lottery
Pagani Daniele IT Lottery
Parks Jim US Lottery
Parney Bob US Legacy
Patrick Randa US Lottery
Perez Yamandu US Lottery
Petelinsek Kathleen US Lottery
Pettersson Jonnie SE Lottery
Pfennig Cami US Lottery
Phillips Rod AU Legacy


Pietig David US Lottery
Pitek Teresa CA Legacy
Porntharukcharoen Nampetch TH Legacy
Pringle  Mark GB Legacy
Quinlan Patrick US Lottery
Rawlings Peter AU Lottery
Rehbein Klaus DE Legacy
Ridder Michelle US Lottery
Robinson David US Lottery
ROGASCH KAREN AU Legacy
ROMANIA Anthony US Legacy
Rössing Michael CH Lottery
Roth Gerald AT Legacy
Salazar-Valadez Alberto MX Legacy
SATO  MUTSUMI  JP Lottery
Scapillato Chris US Lottery
Sebaly Michael US Legacy
Shanks Andrew US Lottery
Shaw Gregory US Lottery
Shoemaker Jerry US Legacy
Shryock John US Lottery
Shuler Robert US Lottery
Silver Brian US Lottery
Singleton Alan AU Legacy
Smith Jack US Lottery
Smith Barbara US Legacy
Smith Stephen US Legacy
Spicer Rosie AU Legacy
steinhoff gerald US Legacy
Stroup David US Legacy
Suzuki Romy US Legacy
Takani Hidemi JP Legacy
THAM TERYN SG Legacy
Thomander Jonas SE Lottery
Thompson Scott GB Legacy
Tranmer Joan CA Legacy
Tunguz Stefan J US Lottery
Udy James NZ Legacy
Vale George US Legacy
Van Gelder André AU Lottery
Van Gelder André AU Legacy
Van Nostrand Paula CA Legacy
Veto William PH Legacy
Walker Rick NZ Lottery
Wasler Andrae AT Lottery
watts jeb US Lottery
Webster Nick US Lottery
Wells Tim US Legacy
Williams Doug US Lottery
Williams John GB Legacy
WINKLER VOLKER US Legacy
Yadav Yati US Lottery
Yandell Andrew US Lottery
York Tod US Lottery
Young Michael US Lottery
Zimmermann Willi DE Legacy




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Further, we have completed similar analysis in previous years. See below.

Ironman Lottery 2013 Results Analysis


Ironman 2013 Legacy (100) and Regular (100) Lottery selections have been announced. The lucky winners are posted on the Ironman Site. Here's our analysis of selection mix by country, by age, and vs 2012.